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Trade Deficit Increases in June

Trade Deficit Increases in June

The Census Bureau reports : The … total June exports of $125.8 billion and imports of $152.8 billion resulted in a goods and services deficit of $27.0 billion, up from $26.0 billion in May, revised. June exports were $2.4 billon more than May exports of $123.4 billion. June imports were…

New York Condo Shadow Inventory

New York Condo Shadow Inventory

From Crain’s New York: Shadow units cast pall (ht Nick) … In Manhattan in the first quarter, [condo] sales were halved from year-earlier levels even as more apartments flooded onto the market, leaving it choking on an 18.6-month supply of units. … As bad as those figures look, they may…

Research on Homeownership Rate through 2030

Research on Homeownership Rate through 2030

Professor Arthur C. Nelson, Director of the Metropolitan Research Center at the University of Utah, has kindly sent me his new paper: “The New Urbanity: The Rise of a New America” (no link). Nelson sees a dramatic shift in American cities: “[T]he period from 2010 to 2030 will see the…

Construction Spending Increases Slightly in June

Construction Spending Increases Slightly in June

Private residential construction spending increased slightly in June and is now 63.6 below the peak of early 2006. Private non-residential construction spending declined in June, but is only off 6.7% below the peak of last September. Overall construction spending increased with a boost from public spending. Click on graph for…

New Home Sales, Single Family Starts and Housing Market Index

New Home Sales, Single Family Starts and Housing Market Index

New Home sales for June are scheduled to be released on Monday morning by the Census Bureau. The consensus forecast is for 350 thousand sales on a Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate (SAAR) basis, up slightly from the 342 thousand SAAR in May. Since we already have the NAHB Housing Market…

The Surge in Rental Units

The Surge in Rental Units

Please see this earlier post for graphs of the homeownership rate, and homeowner and rental vacancy rates. The supply of rental units has been surging: Click on graph for larger image in new window. This graph shows the number of occupied (blue) and vacant (red) rental units in the U.S.…

Q2: Homeowner Vacancy Rate Declines, Rental Vacancy Rate at Record High

Q2: Homeowner Vacancy Rate Declines, Rental Vacancy Rate at Record High

This morning the Census Bureau reported the homeownership and vacancy rates for Q2 2009. Here are a few graphs … Click on graph for larger image in new window. The homeownership rate increased slightly to 67.4% and is now at the levels of Q2 2000. Note: graph starts at 60%…

Jim the Realtor on High Rise Condo Project

Jim the Realtor on High Rise Condo Project

Jim the Realtor takes us on a tour of the 679-unit Vantage Point complex in downtown San Diego. “They had been taking $25,000 deposits since 2004, but could only generate around 200 sales – not enough to qualify for Fannie/Freddie financing (need 70% pre-sold).” Jim says the developer has returned…

More Inventory Correction

More Inventory Correction

The Manufacturing and Trade Inventories and Sales report from the Census Bureau today showed more evidence of declining inventories. Click on graph for larger image in new window. The Census Bureau reported: Manufacturers’ and trade inventories, adjusted for seasonal variations but not for price changes, were estimated at an end-of-month…

Retail Sales in June

Retail Sales in June

On a monthly basis, retail sales increased 0.6% from May to June (seasonally adjusted), and sales are off 9.6% from June 2008 (retail ex food services decreased 10.3%). Excluding autos and gas, retail sales fell again in June. The following graph shows the year-over-year change in nominal and real retail…